Poles Apart
Gareth Morgan, a rather weathly economist and investment manager, spent
half a million dollars to get to the root of this "global warming
hype" by hiring top scientists on both sides of the debate.
The result will be published in an upcoming book "Poles Apart,"
and announced in a high-profile free public event at Parliament in New
Zealand on Tuesday, 19 May.
Here is some of what they say:
- "We've learned only just enough to know how little we know and the
science on this whole thing is far from settled."
- "There are compelling theories, but the evidence has been
less than unequivocal"
- "Neither side is above out-and-out mud-slinging ...
professional egos and corporate agendas are getting in the way of
scientific clarity"
- "Those working at the coal face of climate research seem to have
little interest in engaging with even the most scientifically plausible
of the sceptical arguments, prefering simply to shout that the argument's
over."
And some of the results:
- Greenhouse gases have increased since 1750 because of human consumption
of fossil fuels, trapping in the lower atmosphere heat otherwise destined
to be re-radiated into space.
- The anthropogenic hypothesis is based on well-established principles
of physics and chemistry. Greenhouse gases do absorb CO₂ and there are
significant concentrations in the atmosphere.
- Climate is naturally changable, and has changed dramatically in the past
without human causes.
- Global average sea temperatures have been rising. CO₂ levels have been
rising. Historically, it appears there is a link between these two
things.
- Significant global warming would likely have deleterious consequences
for the human and natural worlds... the Earth is losing ice at an
unprecedented rate... the world's oceans are warming, growing more saline,
sea levels are rising and seawater is absorbing less CO₂... weather patterns
are changing, with the tropics expanding, and belts of westerly winds in
the high latitudes migrating polewards... the range of a number of species
is chanigng, with a retreat to higher altitudes and latitudes of creatures
adapted to cooler climes.
- The rate and scale of warming is a concern... unprecidented in the
last 2000 years. We seem to be experiencing ice loss at present that
the Earth hasn't experienced for 5000 years.
- Measurements of solar irradiance seem to suggest the climate should be
getting cooler rather than warmer, as since records began in the 1970s, the
Earth has been receiving progressively less radiation while temperatures
have (mostly) risen.
- It can be shown by isotopic analysis of atmospheric carbon that the
source of the measured (and uncontroversial) increase in carbon dioxide is
due to the combustion of fossil fuels
I'm a sucker for good unbiased research. So this is a book that could very
well move me from a climate-change agnostic/skeptic to a believer.
Plenty more will be in the upcoming book, so check it out.
Quotes and information from a Randomhouse press release.