Bank Ruse
- FASB changes accounting rule to make banks appear more solvent than they
really are. ✔
- Smart investors stay away from banks.
- Unobservant investors think banks are doing better, and pile into them
- Trend investors see the trend and pile on top
- Higher share prices give banks more ability to raise equity capital in
secondary offerings
- Banks recapitalized with equity now truly are more solvent
So... was the "smart investor" really smart? Wouldn't a really
smart investor buy the banks even though he knows they are no better off,
simply because he now sees a viable path by which they can redeem themselves?
This is an example of what George Soros calls reflexivity. I have not
read his book yet, but I'm interested.